Het mag geen verassing zijn, maar de conclusie van een terugblik op een jaar lang leugens vanuit Moskou:
As the Russian war on Ukraine enters its second year, the Kremlin’s disinformation and influence campaigns can be expected to intensify. Most likely, they will be more sophisticated and more nuanced, targeting audiences in specific countries deemed most susceptible.
The primary goal is to undermine the unity of the West, and its solidarity with Ukraine, with a focus on disrupting military support. In other parts of the world, Kremlin disinformation efforts will be aimed to aid its hunt for allies that will help Russia position itself as a strong power, included in the international community despite its war on Ukraine.
As for the topics of these disinformation campaigns, we should expect more efforts to discredit the Ukrainian government, military and civil society. There will be an increasing focus on the perceived high cost of supporting Ukraine, exploitation of war fatigue, and dissent over Ukrainian refugees abroad.