17:00
--------
Hellraisers vs EnvyUs (BO2) - Low HR (Very High risk)
EnvyUs and Hellraisers are both playing very well at the moment and I think this will be a match for the books. However, betting on this without knowing the maps is HELLA risky! But seeing these Lounge-odds (15-85 | HR-NV) I can't not bet on it! Odds are more like 40-60, so I'd suggest going low on Hellraisers! Normally EnvyUs should take this though. Odds just too favorable for a HR-bet and they trully can upset this! Caution: prepare for buttclenching!
> POSTPONED
18:00
--------
Dignitas vs Piter (BO3) - High Dignitas (Low-medium risk)
Piter won't take 2 maps of Dignitas. Yes, Dignitas is not very consistent lately and they have troubles with Pimp getting DDOs'ed, but this is a match vs a very LOW Tier 2 team and Dignitas is TOP Tier 2 (maybe even can be considered Low Tier 1). In the defense of Piter they have achieved some nice wins lately, but those were BO1's in which upsets happen WAY more often than in BO3's. And even if the scorelines get close Dignitas has the experience to remain calm and execute tactics while Piter are more probable to flinch. I'm very confident Dignitas has this in the bag.
EDIT: Odds are shit at the moment. I won't bet unless odds for Dignitas go -80%. I advise you to do the same 
myKPV vs LDLC Blue (BO3) - Medium myKPV (Medium risk)
Lets get right to it: LDLC Blue have been playing like a big turd. On the other hand myKPV have been playing quite well, but they haven't been playing as much as LDLC Blue.. myKPV have the better individual players and they can raise their skillceiling quite a lot during a game and obliterate their opponents. Something LDLC Blue is incapable of. Therefore I think myKPV have the upper hand by quite some margin here. The odds are beautiful for a Medium (or high) myKPV bet for some proper profits.
Titan vs Gamers2 (BO3) - Low Gamers2 (High risk)
A major upset might be happening here. Odds on CSGO Lounge are 80-20 (Titan-G2) at the moment, which is ridiculous as odds are more 65-35'ish.
Titan have been crying and crawling around their matches with KennyS underperforming tremendously. Gamers2 on the other hand have been playing very solid and appear to have their shit in order. This should/could be Gamers2's big step closer to the big league. Go Low or junk-bet on Gamers2. Betting on Titan in this match is crazy in my opinion.
TSM vs Encore (BO3) - skip
Easy Peasy Lemon Squezy for TSM. Skip due to major odds. No profit to be made.
19:00
--------
EnvyUs vs NiP (BO1-Cobbelstone) - Low-Medium EnvyUs (High risk). Odds +70% EnvyUs = skip
EnvyUs has been on a roll lately. Winning their last 5 matches (vs Flipside, NiP, Titan). They also took a map of Fnatic in a BO5, and this map happened to be Cobblestone, which is 1 of Fnatic's stronger maps! Nip on the other hand has been slumping (5 loss streak), however their last win was on Cobblestone against Dignitas (Tier2). In my opinion with GeTRiGhT not playing on his normal level and his shotcalling being way off these past days, the team is suffering quite big. This won't be good for their confidence and trust in eachother. Against the EnvyUs we saw lately I don't think they stand a chance on Cobblestone. However, if this is the game GeTRiGhT finds his groove again things might get rough.. Remember it is a BO1 vs 2 Tier 1 teams = High Risk! If odds stay below 70% for EnvyUs I will go Low-Medium on EnvyUs.
Navi vs Flipside (BO1-Overpass) - Skip
Navi should take this normally, as Overpass is the map where they have the highest winrate (72%!!). Against a Tier 2 team, that doesn't like Overpass at all (21% winrate), they shouldn't lose this map. However, if S1mple goes absolute ham again, who knows what will happen and Navi do have been slumping lately.. Therefore the High risk.
Too be honest I am not liking the odds, therefore a skip is the smartest play for sure!
Virtus Pro vs Hellraisers (BO1-Mirage) - Medium Hellraisers (High risk) (My fun bet on favo team)
Ok so guys, I am betting Medium on Hellraisers because they are my favorite team. However, they stand a very very good chance vs Virtus Pro. First of all HR have been fixing upsets left and right. They almost beat TSM yesterday, the shared number 1 with Fnatic! I expect great things from this Hellraisers team and I am sure they can take Virtus Pro. Unfortunately Mirage is one of HR's lesser maps and VP's best maps.. So this is pretty much a 50-50. I would definitly skip if I wasn't such a Hellraisers fan (and didn't have such a decent betting inventory)
20:00
--------
Navi vs Virtus Pro (BO1-Cobblestone) - SKIP or Low(Low-Medium) Navi (High risk)
Both teams haven't been playing all that great. Huge differences in level of gameplay from 1 map to another.. Making it hard for us betters to make a "safe" bet. A skip would definitly be the safest for this matchup.
However, if you want to place a bet on this one I'd DEFINITLY go Navi. Navi has won all their past encounters vs VP on Cobblestone! Showing they have a good understanding of this map. If Guardian finally has a decent game again they could wrap this up quickly. The odds being 40-60 (Navi-VP), makes it quite interesting to bet on Navi. If I get some winnings from earlier matchups today, I will probably place a Low-Medium bet on Navi.
SK vs 1337 (BO3) - Low-Medium SK (High Risk)
SK beat Hellraisers, who have been playing amazing, last week. While 1337 lost big time against HR. 1337 in general seems to be struggling a bit lately. SK has the talent and the plays to deliver a nice upset here. With these nice odds a low-medium bet on SK.
Fnatic vs Penta (BO1-Cache) - skip
Free win for Fnatic. Olof and JW are out of control since the beginning of this week. And they don't look like they will be slowing down any time soon. I'll skip cause hardly any profit can be made of this game due to major odds.
21:00
--------
Dignitas vs Flipside (BO1-Overpass) - Skip (Very High Risk)
The 2 best Tier 2 teams duking it out in a BO1 on Overpass.. S1mple won't be playing this game due to ESEA games ban. Just this fact places the odds into Dignitas'favor. Also the fact that Dignitas play a mean Overpass game and Flipside not so much also helps Dignitas'case. However, Pimp getting DDOS'ed is becoming an annoying habit and it can totally screw the game. And overall Dignitas is quite inconsistent as of late which can bite them in the ass in a BO1.
If odds go -70% for Dignitas it becomes worth the risk in my opinion. Then I will bet Low-medium on Dignitas; otherwise clean skip!
22:00
--------
Dignitas vs Virtus Pro (BO3) - skip skip
Both teams have been playing pretty inconsistent lately. However, with this being a BO3 I doubt if Dignitas can take it.I believe Dignitas could take down Titan in a BO3 at the moment. Virtus Pro is just 1 stretch to far. I'm sure Dignitas can come close, but taking 2 maps will be rough.. Keeping in mind the Dignitas connection (DDOS) issues.. Just skip this one guys. Too much variables!
EnvyUs vs Navi (BO1-Cache) - Medium-High EnvyUs (High risk))
EnvyUs is in great form! They have only lost 1 series in the past 10 and that was vs Fnatic in a BO5. Navi on the other hand have been slumping pretty big. On top of that, take into account that Cache isn't really in Navi's capable mappool vs EnvyUs with a 65% winrate on Cache the odds are in EnvyUs's favor quite big. But remember it is only a BO1; therefore nonetheless high risk!
Fnatic vs Titan (BO1-Cobblestone) - Skip due to major odds
This will be a roflstomp for Fnatic. I expect Titan to max take 3 rounds.
1337 vs Publiclir (BO2) - High 1337 (Low risk)
Publiclir is a very good Tier 3 team, but they are playing against one of the more solid Tier 2 teams! (however 1337 has been struggling a bit lately) Publiclir is still outmatched in every way: individual play, teamplay, executes,... Safe to bet on 1337 as they will never lose 2 maps in a row and most probably just 2-0 this match. With more favorable odds (= 1337 at -80%) go high on 1337; otherwise just skip
23:00
---------
Navi vs Hellraisers (BO1-Inferno) - medium Hellraisers (High risk)
As said a few times in this analysis: Navi is slumping! Put that against a Hellraisers that is boasting with confidence and perfectly executed plays.. This will be one fine game!
I trust Hellraisers to take this cause they have the form to take the 1v1's with Navi's players and come out on top. Although if Navi wins the Knife round and start CT-side things might be rough for Hellraisers. But yesterday vs Titan they have proven that they can break practicly any defense and their reads of the enemy movement are beautiful! But don't forget Navi is quite strong on Inferno and they have beaten Hellraisers quite often in the past.
This is another Hellraisers game I'm looking forward too and I will bet medium on Hellraisers cause I trust they will bring this one home. If you are looking for a safe bet this definitly ain't that game. However, if you are looking for a nice score this game has all that potential.
So guys, today we have some nice upset potential. Lots of calculated gambles.
Keep in mind that with these upset-bet's you are more likely to lose, but I do know which upsets are possible and which are just plain stupid to bet on
Good luck & Have fun! May the odds be ever in your favor!
Edit: added match 1337 vs Publiclir
Edit2: added match Navi vs Hellraisers
[
Voor 6% gewijzigd door
Verwijderd op 11-06-2015 17:30
]
:strip_icc():strip_exif()/u/502653/crop6645c46d0813f_cropped.jpg?f=community)
:strip_icc():strip_exif()/u/444669/crop5ac3326aef07b_cropped.jpeg?f=community)
Denk niet dat ik vaak nog op TSM ga betten, was trouwens ook eerste keer 
:strip_icc():strip_exif()/u/586616/dolanddark.jpg?f=community)
ik moet wat lower skins traden voor wat higher valued betting skins tbh.
olofmeister
gister verloor c9 ook bijna van tempo-storm in bo3, maar op een of andere manier is inferno @ NA terror sided 
.
:strip_icc():strip_exif()/u/394503/anthony.jpg?f=community)
: 
Ez Skinz Ez Life 
:strip_icc():strip_exif()/u/504144/crop56e1e4fab7d64.jpeg?f=community)
/u/412280/crop5d286275e2aee_cropped.png?f=community)
:strip_icc():strip_exif()/u/458966/bliksem.jpg?f=community)
/u/148148/crop5a462de63da90_cropped.png?f=community)
Dit topic is gesloten.
